How Much Longer Will You Continue the Mental Paralysis of “Wait and See”? Bitcoin Sounds Its Loudest “Bargain Sale” Alarm Since 2023

Every time we pay at a convenience store or see news of the yen’s depreciation on our smartphone screens, we are struck by an indescribable sense of urgency. Everyone is beginning to realize that the “ship” known as the Japanese Yen is slowly taking on water. Yet, when faced with Bitcoin—the very asset expected to be a lifeboat—many have already pulled down their mental shutters, telling themselves it’s “already too expensive” or “has nothing to do with me.”

This is an incredibly unfortunate missed opportunity. The latest market data presents a reality that is the exact opposite of the public’s perception: right now, Bitcoin is being sold off at levels so “unusually undervalued” that we haven’t seen the likes of them since 2023.

By the time you finish reading this article, you will be able to steer your asset formation not based on “fear,” but on “logical evidence.”

A Historical Buying Opportunity Indicated by the Market’s “Health Checkup”

Before dismissing Bitcoin as a volatile gamble, I ask you to take a brief look at this “health certificate” known as on-chain metrics. Sharp international analysts are currently unified in their focus on one point: the current price has diverged significantly from Bitcoin’s “intrinsic value.”

This distortion has reached levels not seen since March 2023, when Bitcoin was still wandering in the $20,000 range. To break it down simply, here is what is happening:

• The Inversion of “Intrinsic Value” and “Valuation”: Market expectations have cooled to the point where the price is “unjustly undervalued” relative to its true worth. It is, in a sense, like finding a high-end luxury brand item hidden in a bargain clearance bin.
• The Quiet Stirring of Whales: Signals identical to those seen just before the 2023 surge are flashing. Experienced large-scale investors (whales) are quietly but surely accumulating at this very moment, while the masses are paralyzed by fear.
• The Fuse of Tightened Supply: Long-term holders are not foolish enough to let go of their assets at these low prices. While the “supply” circulating in the market is drying up, this undervaluation indicator has lit up. History proves what happens next. ⚠️

A “Shield” and “Sword” for Japanese Investors

For us Japanese investors, who are exposed to the headwinds of a weakening yen, holding Bitcoin is no longer a “dream-chasing investment.” It is a “shield” to protect assets that are steadily losing value, and a “sword” to maintain an offensive posture in wealth building.

Of course, I do not recommend reckless moves like throwing in your entire life savings. The wise approach is to sow “seeds” at this very moment—when the market has dipped and the world has gone quiet—through small-scale recurring investments or spot purchases. If you wait until the sprouts have grown, the cost of entry will have jumped several times over.

Why is it necessary to act now? In the world of markets, there is an ironclad rule: “Buy on pessimism, sell on euphoria.” While many wait with bated breath for it to “get even cheaper,” the train has usually already left the station. Historical data makes it clear: the rebounds following these “undervaluation signals” are always dramatic and relentless. 📈

Conclusion: The Greatest Risk is “Doing Nothing”

In the world of investing, the most expensive cost is not commissions or unrealized losses—it is the “opportunity loss” of saying, “I should have done it then.”

It is easy to distance yourself by saying Bitcoin is suspicious, difficult, or scary. However, now that the “tail of opportunity” indicated by the data is visible, turning your eyes away is tantamount to abandoning your right to protect your own wealth. ✨

As the saying goes, start with an amount you are comfortable with—a small sum that won’t affect your daily life. I hope you take that first step toward protecting your assets from a global perspective before this “bargain sale” alarm stops ringing.

Note: This article is intended for informational purposes only and does not constitute a solicitation or advice for investment. Please make investment decisions at your own discretion.

This article is also available in Japanese.